ODI World Cup 2023 Semi-Final Scenarios: Where Does Each Team Stand?

The semi-finals of the ICC World Cup 2023 are looming on the horizon, with just under two weeks to go, and the conclusion of the knockout stages of the tournament nearing completion. The hunt for a place in the semi-finals of the 2023 Cricket World Cup remains fierce, as no team has firmly secured its place.

Currently, South Africa, New Zealand and Australia sit alongside host nation India in the critical top four spots in the points table. However, with 14 group stage games still to be played, almost every team has a realistic chance of advancing.

READ I| ODI World Cup 2023 Semi-Finals: Expected Teams, Venue, Date, Tickets & Other Details

2023 ODI World Cup Semi Finals Scenarios and Qualifiers

Here is the ICC World Cup 2023 semi-final qualification scenario of each team that fans are rooting for:

1. World Cup semi-final scenario in India

Wins	6
Losses	0
Net run	+1,405

The qualification scenario for India is as follows:

The script for the Indian team is simple: secure a win in at least one of the remaining three games to collect 14 or more points, guaranteeing qualification. Alternatively, even with three losses, India can clinch a place in the semi-finals by maintaining a superior net run rate compared to at least one of the other four contenders (South Africa, New Zealand, Australia, Afghanistan), who could also reach 12 points.

Still to play against: South Africa (November 5), Netherlands (November 12)

2. Scenario of the semi-final of the World Cup in New Zealand

Wins	4
Losses	3
Net run	+0.484

The qualifying scenario for New Zealand is as follows:

For New Zealand, a path to qualification involves either winning both of their remaining matches and securing a superior net rate compared to at least one of the other four teams (India, South Africa, Australia, Afghanistan) with a potential 12-point finish. Alternatively, winning one of the two remaining games while maintaining a superior net run rate to the other teams aiming to finish with 10 points.

Still to play: Pakistan (November 4), Sri Lanka (November 9)

3. Scenario of the semi-final of the World Cup in South Africa

Wins	6
Losses	1
Net run	+2,290

The qualifying scenario for South Africa is as follows:

The qualification scenario for South Africa revolves around securing a win in at least one of their remaining two games to collect 14 or more points and guarantee their passage to the semi-finals. Alternatively, even with two losses, they can advance by maintaining a superior net rate compared to at least one of the other four teams (India, New Zealand, Australia, Afghanistan) who could also reach 12 points.

Still to play against: India (November 5), Afghanistan (November 10)

Nine out of 10 teams are still in the hunt for a #CWC23 place in the semi-finals 🏆

Current status 👉 https://t.co/wFxCrHa1Fk pic.twitter.com/Abiz984ymu

— ICC (@ICC)
November 2, 2023

4. Scenario of the semi-finals of the World Cup in Australia

Wins	4
Losses	2
Net run	+0.970

The qualifying scenario for Australia is as follows:

Australia’s path to the semi-finals includes winning all three remaining games, collecting 14 points to guarantee qualification. Alternatively, winning two of the three remaining matches while maintaining a superior net run rate compared to at least one of the other four teams (India, South Africa, New Zealand, Afghanistan) aiming for a 12-point finish. Winning one of three games while maintaining a superior net run rate to other teams targeting 10 points is another go.

Still to play against: England (November 4), Afghanistan (November 7), Bangladesh (November 11)

5. World Cup semi-final scenario in Pakistan

Wins	3
Losses	4
Net run	-0.024

The qualifying scenario for Pakistanis is as follows:

Pakistan’s scenario dictates winning both the remaining matches and securing a superior net run rate over other teams targeting 10 points. The alternative route involves winning one of the two matches while relying on Australia to lose all three of their remaining matches, New Zealand to lose their two remaining matches and Afghanistan to lose at least two of their remaining three matches while maintaining a superior net run rate over to other teams that weigh 8 points.

Still to play against: New Zealand (November 4), England (November 11)

7. World Cup semi-final scenario in Afghanistan

Wins	3
Losses	3
Net run	-0.718

The qualification scenario for Afghanistan is as follows:

Afghanistan’s path to the semi-finals is focused on securing at least one, ideally all three remaining games, to collect up to 12 points. In addition, they need to increase their net run rate enough to surpass New Zealand, Australia or any other team with the same number of points.

Still to play against: Netherlands (November 3), Australia (November 7), South Africa (November 10)

7. World Cup semi-final scenario in Sri Lanka

Wins	2
Losses	3
Net run	-0.275

Sri Lanka’s scenario for Afghanistan is as follows:

Sri Lanka’s ambition includes winning at least two, ideally all three of their remaining matches, to get up to 10 points. To ensure this, they need to improve their net run rate to surpass New Zealand, Australia or any other team finishing with the same number of points. It is imperative that New Zealand and/or Australia lose at least two of the remaining three matches.

Still to play against: India (November 2), Bangladesh (November 6), New Zealand (November 9)

8. World Cup semi-final scenario in the Netherlands

Wins	2
Losses	4
Net run	-1,277

The qualification scenario for the Netherlands is as follows:

The Netherlands’ path to the semi-finals requires winning at least two, ideally all three of their remaining games to collect up to 10 points. At the same time they need to increase their net run rate to surpass New Zealand, Australia or any other team with the same number of points. It is essential that New Zealand and/or Australia lose at least two of the remaining three games.

Still to play: Afghanistan (November 3), England (November 8), India (November 12)

9. World Cup semi-final scenario in Bangladesh

Wins	1
Losses	6
Net run	-1,446

Unfortunately for Bangladeshi fans, Bangladesh became the first team to be eliminated from the 2023 World Cup after suffering their sixth defeat against Pakistan. This defeat extinguished their hopes of securing a place in the semi-finals.