Covid-19 : how do you explain the increase in the rate of reproduction of the virus in Britain?

The sars coronavirus is circulating, it is particularly active in the region and the reproduction rate of the R virus is experiencing an alarming increase. Of 1

The sars coronavirus is circulating, it is particularly active in the region and the reproduction rate of the R virus is experiencing an alarming increase.

Since July 10, the number of positive Covid-19 cases in Britain has been on the rise in the region with 110 new cases recorded in five days. Even more representative, 123 new cases were registered in just 48 hours, according to the latest figures published on Friday by the prefecture of the Brittany region and the ARS.

The number of patients in the intensive care unit has not increased and has always been three people since July 15 last year: “These are not serious cases. What are not resuscitation cases”, see also Thibault Jurvillier, deputy director of CHU Cavale Blanche in Brest in El Expreso.

“The situation in Britain, while not alarming, is not without much attention,” France’s public health said in an email to AFP on Friday. In fact, the reproduction rate is 2.62, an increase compared to the last few weeks, according to the same source. In other words, this means that in Great Britain, one Covid-19 carrier infects 2.6 others. 10 people infected on day 26.

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“The month of June was particularly quiet, all the patients were discharged and the collection activity was limited, there were very few positive cases. Since last Saturday there have been many requests for tests”, explains Thibault Jurvillier.

artificially influenced rate

This rate, if it is “one of the important parameters to assess the dynamics of virus transmission”, can “artificially be increased if the data used for its calculation reflect other factors of virus transmission in the population”, explains Public Health France.

“For example, the occurrence of a cluster in a company can lead to screening actions and influx of patients to the emergency department or laboratory, which increases the “index” of time without which there must be a real intensification of the circulation of the virus”, adds SpF.

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This is exactly the case in Great Britain, where four outbreaks were identified in Finistère and Côtes-d’armor, which “caused a greater number of sieves and therefore” an increase in the reproduction rate, he said.

“Since May 4, 80,000 tests have been carried out in Britain, a quarter of which have been carried out in the last ten days,” Anne-Briac Bili, ARS Britain’s chief of staff, told a news conference. this Friday. And the number of proven cases has pushed the reproduction rate.”

“There has also been an increase in the number of symptomatic people who will be tested,” said Bertrand Gagniere, a French public health doctor. This may also explain the increase in the positivity rate, which currently stands at 1.7%.

The small cases came from outside Brittany

But for Public Health France, “circulation of the virus remains low in Great Britain, with an incidence rate of 2.8 cases per 100,000 between July 6 and 12 (compared to 4.3 for the entire area). “.

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Last week in Brittany there were 107 cases in Finistère, five in Morbihan, 44 in Ille-et-Vilaine and 18 in Côtes-d’Armor. Finistère is the department with the highest incidence rate at 5.4 per 100,000 inhabitants, compared to 2.6 in Ille-et-Vilaine, 1.9 in Côtes-d’armor and 0.79 in Morbihan.

“Things are quite diffused throughout Great Britain, says the president of the PS region, Loïg Chesnais-Girard, to our franceinfo colleagues. We have cases in a more pronounced way in Finistère and Ille-et-Vilaine, and very low in Morbihan and Côtes d’armour,” he explains.

Another observation from Anne-Briac Bili ARS Great Britain, the proportion of positive cases coming from outside the region is quite low: “Of 123 new cases, 14 people live outside of Great Britain,” she said.

Read our full file

Coronavirus: 14 deaths in France in 24 hours, the circulation of the virus is increasing. Covid-19: Faced with the threat of a second wave, Europe tightens its measures

This Friday, the health authorities recalled that the summer period should not be synonymous with liberation: “We continue to be very careful with the development of the situation, but it seems necessary to call with gestures to respect the barriers,” recalls Thibault Jurvillier from CHU Brest.

Update Date: Jul 17, 2020, 5:58 PM

Categories: Optical Illusion
Source: newstars.edu.vn

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