According to a study by French researchers, a link between participation in the election and the mortality rates city-by-city basis is proved. The first round
According to a study by French researchers, a link between participation in the election and the mortality rates city-by-city basis is proved.
The first round of the municipal elections, on march 15, he led to an increase in the number of deaths of the Covid-19 ? Three economics researchers of the CNRS of the University of Clermont-Auvergne have published a study early this June, citing a direct link between a higher participation in the voting, and the mortality rates city-by-city. “The results indicate a participation rate higher has been associated with a number of deaths significantly higher among the elderly in the five weeks following the elections,” know these three researchers in open access publishing, pointed out by Marianne.
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Simone Bertoli, Lucas Guichard and Francesca Marchetta, who work for the IZA, a German economic institute, affiliated with the University of Bonn, argue in their study that the epidemic would have been even more deadly if the participation rate had been more important. “If the participation rate at historically low levels in 2020 had reached its level of 2014, the number of deaths would have been higher by 21.8% to the one who has been saved. More than three-quarters of these additional deaths have been in people aged 80 years and over,” they write.
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Two studies conflicting
“The large number of meeting electoral overcrowded and the difficulty to comply with the measures of social distancing newly introduced to the voters and to the staff of the office of voting suggest that the decision controversial policy not to postpone the elections would have been able to contribute significantly to accelerate the spread of epidemics,” they concluded in their study. “Our model describes how the intensity of the participation at the first turn in a city, the election on 15 march itself, but also the electoral campaign that precedes it, have led to the observed increased mortality in this city,” says Simone Bertoli to Marianne.
This study comes to contradict a previous analysis conducted by epidemiologists and statisticians, and who had concluded that the holding of the first round had not accelerated statistically the circulation of the new coronavirus. This study, as revealed in The World, is not denied, however, that contamination may have occurred.
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“We have not found any statistical effect on the level of participation in each department on hospitalizations later for Covid-19, as measured locally”, indicated to the World, Jean-David Zeitoun, Centre for clinical epidemiology at the Hotel-Dieu in Paris, coordinator of the study. “In other words, this is not because more people went to vote in a given department that the disease has spread more quickly in terms of hospital admissions”, ” he pointed out.
Date Of Update: 12 June 2020, 07:58
Categories: Optical Illusion
Source: newstars.edu.vn