The last possible scenario of the evolution of the epidemic would be that of “degradation of critical indicators” which would result in “loss of control”. science
The last possible scenario of the evolution of the epidemic would be that of “degradation of critical indicators” which would result in “loss of control”.
The scientific panel to guide public authorities in the management of the crisis related to Covid-19 recommends preparing for “four likely scenarios” for the coming months, ranging from “epidemic under control” to “downgraded to critical”.
Subtitled “anticipate to better protect”, the new opinion published this Thursday aims to “prepare the various structures of the state to deal with the possible reversal of the epidemic, regardless of its form”.
Plan for responding to scenarios
The first, “best-case” scenario is an “epidemic under control,” with only a few “controllable” homes. Another scenario, as reported by franceinfo, seems to be that “clusters would be critical, leaving the fear of loss of control of channels and contamination” would require strict measures, early and localized, to avoid loss of control in the wider area of the epidemic. .
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The third scenario is a “gradual recovery and low noise epidemic, which is harder to identify”. Indicators would then decrease without identifying and controlling contamination chains.
The last would be to monitor “critical indicators of degradation” over the epidemic, reflecting the “loss of control” of the latter. According to our colleagues, this would require “difficult decisions, leading to a choice between widespread containment in the country, to minimize direct mortality, and other common goals, economic and social, with significant direct mortality.”
Be as reactive as possible
The Scientific Council, chaired by specialist immunologist Jean-François Delfraissy, “stresses the need to prepare” “appropriate measures” in each of these scenarios, in order to avoid “a new closure is ubiquitous”, as experienced in the country, from 17 March to May 11. These measures must be “developed now” so that they can be “activated as soon as possible” “when necessary”, the notice insists.
Also, the Scientific Council proposes preparation, “with actors including territorial ones”, within the framework of a “coordinated prevention and protection plan” with the aim of “increasing the effectiveness of the measures taken, while limiting the social and economic impact of epidemics”. It calls for the involvement of “actors of civil society and economic life” in order to “strengthen its legitimacy, as well as adherence to the measures provided for in each scenario.”
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such a plan should include “strengthening barrier and alienation measures”, such as “mandatory mask wearing in all closed spaces”.
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“COVID-19”, the new coronavirus
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It also suggests that “implementation strengthened the ‘test, track, isolate’ strategy, the protection plan, long-term care facilities, enhanced detention protection, voluntary for the most vulnerable people due to their age or health, a plan aimed at people in the most precarious situations, as well as a set measures to be implemented in metropolitan cities, which are particularly exposed, especially in Ile-de-France”.
Date of update: June 6, 2020, 06:58
Categories: Optical Illusion
Source: newstars.edu.vn